It's
become clear that something in the cosmos just doesn't add up. The universe is
getting bigger every second. In fact, it's expanding
at a much faster rate than it should.
For
some time now there's been a mismatch in observations of the early universe
done with the European Space Agency's Planck
Telescope and what astronomers see when they measure the more nearby,
modern parts of space with NASA's
Hubble Telescope. (Keep in mind that looking at distant parts of the
universe with powerful telescopes is the same as looking back in time).
When
scientists look at what was going on 13 billion years ago, via Planck, and then
extrapolate that into the present, the results don't match what Hubble sees
today. For several years, there's been an assumption that the disagreement is
due to a lack of precision in the measurements. But as scientists have
fine-tuned their tools, the discrepancy has remained. On Thursday, researchers
using Hubble said the chances the mismatch is some sort of user error or fluke
have gone from 1 in 3,000 to 1 in 100,000.
"The
Hubble tension between the early and late universe may be the most exciting
development in cosmology in decades," lead researcher and Nobel laureate Adam
Riess of the Space Telescope Science Institute, which leads Hubble's science
mission, said in a statement. "This mismatch has been growing and has
now reached a point that is really impossible to dismiss as a fluke. This
disparity could not plausibly occur just by chance."
The
Hubble team's results have been accepted for publication in The
Astrophysical Journal. Riess says the discrepancy strongly suggests
there's a piece missing in the puzzle that scientists have put together over
the years to model the history of the universe.
One
possible explanation could be the appearance of dark
energy at some point long ago. It's now theorized that up to 70
percent of the universe may be made up of the mysterious stuff. A yet undiscovered
and speedy particle in the universe that affects its expansion is another
possibility, as is the idea that unseen
dark matter might be pushing on the normal matter we can see more
strongly than we thought.
The
actual explanation remains a mystery. Riess and other scientists plan to
continue fine-tuning their tools and measurements, but if the mismatch isn't
due to human error, new physics may be needed to complete the puzzle.
"Previously,
theorists would say to me, 'it can't be. It's going to break everything.' Now
they are saying, 'we actually could do this,'" Riess said.
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